Game in the Brain

 Bayesian probability for me was a difficult concept to follow. I had to wrestle with it for a while and eventually I settled with the use fo Expected Monetary Value calculations: Assign a % and multiply that to the Expected Cost/KPI/Result Metric. If you believe there is a 30% Chance that you will incur a 100usd cost then you have a 30usd Value to this Probability. Of course its not that simple so I learned to use more nuance like Color and Art as a conceptual framework. 

https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/331512/calculate-probability-using-tree-diagram-and-bayes-theorem

https://www.statisticshowto.com/expected-monetary-value-emv/

So as a graphic Artist I think in Hue, Opacity, Brightness/Darkness, and Saturation – the way an Electrical Engineer can think of Resistance, Current, Voltage, and Amperage or a Mechanical Engineer thinks of Pressure, Flow-rate, Appature, etc…. So I think each Probability is a Color with Hue, Opacity, Brightness, and Saturation Values. 

from http://brainden.com/color-illusions.htm https://science4fun.info/voltage-current-and-resistance/

I think these in SETS and Overlapping Circles or Squares with these Colors and the many Values of these colors. I think of them the way I break down an Image for me to paint and replicate as a Painting or Photoshop. I visualize the shade, color transition, and complexity as a Picture that can be seen as colors, shadows, and overlapping blends and backlights. 

	ELA in the middle	Middle School English, Language Arts

 I try to visualize Emotions and Human Behavior as a Scene, or Artform (Abstract to Realistic to Technical). Where people have “probabilities” of acting in certain ways depending on their emotion, and circumstance, and options.  

As I better Understand emotions I realize an Emotion is like a Color – the blue of the sky cannot be seen on my skin – but if you remove the blue of the sky my color profile will change almost imperceptively unless you step back and do a Color Sampling (eyedropper) and note how the grades have all shifted. 

Like the Probability Multiplying the Output/result, I imagine colors mixing into other colors. Sadness backlighting my Optimism, Fear shading my Anger, etc… 

This is not sophisticated by the way. Its all “operant conditioning” – I am conditioned to feel something related to something and I peel back my feelings and study it. Something we all can do. 

In a simple concept – a PICTURE is an object that is not black or white – it has MANY factors of many different variables. When it moves it even changes. our brain can only follow one or two levels of detail – either the whole picture, or one aspect of the picture, or another perspective on the moving picture. 

To imagine a scene or a figure is to imagine a circumstance with many complicating details but can be zoomed out to be simple picture.