BATNA and Hindsight Bias

The cost of Security. I was talking to my mentor and team, about how I tend to be ok when we spend about up to the Opportunity cost or the BATNA. That I dont mind paying more because FAILURE still has a cost and we walk away with nothing. I realize Security = particularly ARMS  is just like that. Spend too little and you fail, your way worse off, Spend up to the BATNA/Opportunity Cost which may be greater than the actual cost of the Good you still have the benefit. 

Spend too little and you fail its one of those Hindsight BIASES which I really hate – when I’m talking to people who express this. In Hindsight we now Know how much, but prior to that WE DONT KNOW. Same thing with our CLients, they only know better After working with us (that we are better than the other options or worse), I cannot judge someone on something they can only know after the decision, only what they knew at the time and the factors pressuring the decision. 

If that problem is 10% of my Income, and i spend 9.9% of my Income to remove it but later realize I could have spent 2% – is the Solution 2% or 9.999% of my Income? Its one of those Economic things I discovered in High School that I had a hard time understanding. 

Funny thing is that I can Apply this to Games. An Evil but Necessary NPC is the Lesser Evil, do players think he’s still Evil and must be killed? Balancing Stakeholder Requirements and Nuance is a sign maturity, exercising it in Game with Role-playing Flexes that Mental Muscle and when REal life hits its not such a STRANGE exercise to notice the nuance and work with it. It helps us see our Own Nuances and appreciate them, and work with our own weaknesses and challenges. Being able to appreciate the nuance in others helps me appreciate my own nuances and work with it. Learning it will take me an additional 8 months to ready for HSK02 because thats the reality of my brain and not the Ideal I want out of my life.  

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